Is the Big Sky Real Estate Market Too Hot?

by Liz Nitz

Today I am looking at pricing and real estate market trends in Big Sky Montana.  This should serve to round out one’s perspective on real estate in southwest Montana – check my blogs on November 15 and 25th for more information on Belgrade and Bozeman. The four graphs below represent single family homes, condos and townhomes in 4 different price categories.  In the first graph, we see sold prices of homes below $295K.  You might think this looks like good news for buyers but if you factor in actually how many homes have actually sold and are on the market, you see that there are 2 single family homes listed and 9 condos.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 295000

 

 

In the next category seen below, we have homes from 295K to 512K.  In this category, pricing looks pretty flat in 2019.  But factor in that there are no single family homes and only 20 condos on the market currently.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 295000-512000

 

 

In the next category seen below, we have home from 512K – 1.1M.  Things get a little interesting here as we see median prices for single family at 947K and condos at 752K.  Townhomes and Single family homes especially reflect pretty large increases this year which is, of course, a function of little supply and big demand.  As we sit today, there are 3 single family homes on the market right now and no townhomes but there are 24 condos in this price category available.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 512000-1100000

 

 

In the last category, we see everything over 1.1M.  And we see increasing prices this year in the single family and condo categories.  There are currently 56 single family homes on the market and 58 condos.  Clearly, this is where the developers and builders are concentrating and where they perceive the demand to be.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 1100000

 

 

The Big Sky market is different than our other SW Montana housing markets as it is primarily made up of second homes.  The second homes are owned by mostly outsiders or non Montanans.  Their money has come from the booming economy and record stock market that we have seen in the past few years.  I think that as long as that continues, all will be good in Big Sky as it is a beautiful place with many amenities.  However, all economics are cyclical and at some point, we will have some kind of slow down in the US and world economy.  At that point we will see this Big Sky market slow as well and like most second home markets, it will probably take a bigger hit than primary home markets and take longer to recover.   All home buyers need to weigh the risk against their financial situation to evaluate whether a second home purchase in a place like Big Sky is a good decision.

What Should Affordable Housing Look Like in Bozeman?

These numbers reflect sold pricing.  Remember that Montana is a non disclosure state so only licensed real estate professionals can access accurate data.  If you would like to dive deeper into market trends, please reach out and let’s have a conversation!  I hope you found this helpful – please pass it on!!

 

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The following homes listed below were just listed in the last 7 days. This seller’s market is hot so we keep a close eye on the latest inventory. Subscribe below for instant updates of your ideal criteria.

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969 Nelson, Bozeman, Montana 59718

969 Nelson, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
2.10Acre
2,379Sqft
Sitting on 2.1 acres with NO zoning and NO covenants this home is ready for its next adventure. This single level home is 2379 SF with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Stunning views of the Bridger Mountains and room for your business or farm animals! There are several out buildings already in place including a barn, shop, detatched garage and garden shed.
$1,200,000

645 Baxter E, Bozeman, Montana 59718

645 Baxter E, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3Bedroom(s)
1Bathroom(s)
20Acre
1,157Sqft
Almost unlimited possibilities for this prime investment and development opportunity! This property is 20 acres of flat buildable land with a 5000sqft shop and 900sqft residences which can stay or be cleared. It's conveniently located off Baxter Ln. near Jackrabbit Ln. is right in the center of the valley and the current development trends.
$6,500,000

621 E Lamme, Bozeman, Montana 59715

621 E Lamme, Bozeman, Montana 59715

1Bedroom(s)
1Bathroom(s)
0.12Acre
640Sqft
Can't beat this location! Historic home for sale in downtown Bozeman. One bedroom, 2 bath house lovingly maintained by owner. This home has been in the same family since it was built in 1898. Painted inside and out within the past two years, newer fridge, washer and dryer, windows, doors, and plumbing. Lawn mower also conveys.
$599,000

3575 Stucky Road, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3575 Stucky Road, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
10Acre
1,683Sqft
One Of A Kind Property! 10 Acres!! This Unique Property Offers A Little Bit Of Everything. One Of The Best Locations You Will Ever Find! Many Options. Horses Welcome! Additional Dwelling Unit Already In Place. Have You Ever Wanted Two Shops? Look No Further! The Home Was Remolded in 1992 And Has Hardwood Floors Throughout The First Floor. Lots Of Elbow Room On Main Floor As Well.
$1,800,000

662 Coffee Creek, Bozeman, Montana 59715

662 Coffee Creek, Bozeman, Montana 59715

5Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
20Acre
5,478Sqft
Spectacular views from this custom log home on 20 acres offers the classic Montana lifestyle. Iconic touches from national park lodges have been used throughout this “Parkitecture” design featuring massive timber beams, a soaring two-story fireplace, and tremendous mountain views.
$1,865,000

1806 W Durston Rd, Bozeman, Montana 59715

1806 W Durston Rd, Bozeman, Montana 59715

5Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
0.17Acre
2,320Sqft
Here is your chance to spring into action on that investment property that you have been searching for. Two separate living quarters for possible in-law suite. Prime Bozeman location with great access to Montana State University, shopping, and Downtown Bozeman. Not to mention the ability to take advantage of Bridger Bowl & Big Sky Ski Resort as winter approaches us.
$697,000

2940 W Villard 1F, Bozeman, Montana 59715

2940 W Villard 1F, Bozeman, Montana 59715

2Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
1,020Sqft
Investor buyers! Due to owner occupied ratios & informal HOA this is a cash purchase. This Meadow Vista condo is an upstairs end unit with mountain views. Light & bright with the many windows. Open floor plan with 2 bedrooms and 2 baths. One bedroom is a master with full bath. The second bedroom has the full bath across the hall. Wood floors through out. Kitchen with white appliances and cabinets.
$339,000
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