Is the Big Sky Real Estate Market Too Hot?

by Liz Nitz

Today I am looking at pricing and real estate market trends in Big Sky Montana.  This should serve to round out one’s perspective on real estate in southwest Montana – check my blogs on November 15 and 25th for more information on Belgrade and Bozeman. The four graphs below represent single family homes, condos and townhomes in 4 different price categories.  In the first graph, we see sold prices of homes below $295K.  You might think this looks like good news for buyers but if you factor in actually how many homes have actually sold and are on the market, you see that there are 2 single family homes listed and 9 condos.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 295000

 

 

In the next category seen below, we have homes from 295K to 512K.  In this category, pricing looks pretty flat in 2019.  But factor in that there are no single family homes and only 20 condos on the market currently.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 295000-512000

 

 

In the next category seen below, we have home from 512K – 1.1M.  Things get a little interesting here as we see median prices for single family at 947K and condos at 752K.  Townhomes and Single family homes especially reflect pretty large increases this year which is, of course, a function of little supply and big demand.  As we sit today, there are 3 single family homes on the market right now and no townhomes but there are 24 condos in this price category available.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 512000-1100000

 

 

In the last category, we see everything over 1.1M.  And we see increasing prices this year in the single family and condo categories.  There are currently 56 single family homes on the market and 58 condos.  Clearly, this is where the developers and builders are concentrating and where they perceive the demand to be.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 1100000

 

 

The Big Sky market is different than our other SW Montana housing markets as it is primarily made up of second homes.  The second homes are owned by mostly outsiders or non Montanans.  Their money has come from the booming economy and record stock market that we have seen in the past few years.  I think that as long as that continues, all will be good in Big Sky as it is a beautiful place with many amenities.  However, all economics are cyclical and at some point, we will have some kind of slow down in the US and world economy.  At that point we will see this Big Sky market slow as well and like most second home markets, it will probably take a bigger hit than primary home markets and take longer to recover.   All home buyers need to weigh the risk against their financial situation to evaluate whether a second home purchase in a place like Big Sky is a good decision.

What Should Affordable Housing Look Like in Bozeman?

These numbers reflect sold pricing.  Remember that Montana is a non disclosure state so only licensed real estate professionals can access accurate data.  If you would like to dive deeper into market trends, please reach out and let’s have a conversation!  I hope you found this helpful – please pass it on!!

 

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The following homes listed below were just listed in the last 7 days. This seller’s market is hot so we keep a close eye on the latest inventory. Subscribe below for instant updates of your ideal criteria.

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38 Marten Peak Court, Bozeman, Montana 59718

38 Marten Peak Court, Bozeman, Montana 59718

4Bedroom(s)
3Bathroom(s)
0.21Acre
2,476Sqft
Located in the Woodland Park subdivision, this brand new modern, contemporary home is 2,476 sf built by Old Mill Homes. Situated on a quiet cul-de-sac, this home has 4 bed, 3 bath, two living rooms and great floor plan. Estimated completion will be the end of June. Main level includes the master suite and addl bedroom with full bath for guests.
$1,000,000

410 Westridge Drive, Bozeman, Montana 59715

410 Westridge Drive, Bozeman, Montana 59715

4Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
0.20Acre
2,406Sqft
This meticulously maintained 4-bedroom home in the well-established Figgins neighborhood is must-see. Upstairs features a beautifully updated kitchen/dining room, a generous sized living room, master bedroom, an additional bedroom, and thoughtfully renovated bathroom.
$875,000

1068 Flanders Creek Avenue, Bozeman, Montana 59718

1068 Flanders Creek Avenue, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
0.10Acre
1,500Sqft
Rare find in Bozeman-a townhouse with a three car garage! This well maintained home is move in ready, from the cozy and private front porch, to the spacious living room with a three sided fireplace allowing enjoyment from the kitchen/dining area as well. The spacious patio features privacy, a hot tub and plenty of room for entertaining or grilling.
$575,000

840 Quail Run Road D, Bozeman, Montana 59718

840 Quail Run Road D, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
1,519Sqft
You'll love this charming and well maintained condo centrally located in the desirable North Star Subdivision in Four Corners. This quiet bright end unit boasts 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and 1519 sqft of living space. The combination open concept kitchen, dining room and living room make for easy and spacious single-level living, accented with vaulted ceilings and a granite finished gas fireplace.
$529,900

2940 Upper Rainbow Road, Bozeman, Montana 59718

2940 Upper Rainbow Road, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
0.97Acre
1,588Sqft
Lovingly maintained single level home on almost an acre in the desirable Four Corners area. This charming single owner home comes to market for the first time and offers three bedrooms and two bathrooms with an open floor plan. The kitchen has plenty of counter space, ample cabinetry for storage and a center island.
$700,000

727 Harper Puckett Road, Bozeman, Montana 59718

727 Harper Puckett Road, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
20Acre
1,780Sqft
GREAT HORSE OR GENTLEMAN RANCHER PROPERTY. PROPERTY WILL CONVEY WITH 50 INCHES OF WATER RIGHTS FROM THE LOWER MIDDLE CREEK DITCH COMPANY. HAS AAKER CREEK THAT RUNS YEAR ROUND THAT RUNS THROUGH THE ENTIRE PROPERTY. BEAUTIFUL GOLDEN WILLOW TREES. THIS PROPERTY HAD GREAT DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL AND HAS NO COVENANTS OR ZONING. COULD BE A GLAMPING PROPERTY.
$2,700,000

96 Defender, Bozeman, Montana 59718

96 Defender, Bozeman, Montana 59718

4Bedroom(s)
4Bathroom(s)
0.52Acre
3,393Sqft
Stunning new plan under construction in Black Bull! This modern design is located on a .5 acre+ lot in a quiet cul de sac. Backing to state owned land, this lot provides an abundance of privacy. On the main floor are three bedroom suites, each with their own luxury bathrooms.
$1,899,000

171 Cold Smoke, Bozeman, Montana 59715

171 Cold Smoke, Bozeman, Montana 59715

3Bedroom(s)
1Bathroom(s)
1.19Acre
2,940Sqft
Glorious views of the Gallatin Valley and surrounding mountain ranges from this 1-Level custom. This home features 2 large master suites which has have large walk-in closets. One bath with separate tub and shower, 2nd Master with walk-in closet and 3/4 bath, additional bedroom and office.
$2,375,000

1609 Maple Street B2, Bozeman, Montana 59715

1609 Maple Street B2, Bozeman, Montana 59715

2Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
1,046Sqft
Stunning Mountain views of The Bridgers and Spanish Peaks can be seen from these incredibly well located, brand-new Bridgeview condos. Just down the street from MSU. These newly constructed condos boast dual bedrooms with en-suite bathrooms; featuring beautiful tiled showers with glass doors.
$499,500
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