Is the Big Sky Real Estate Market Too Hot?

by Liz Nitz

Today I am looking at pricing and real estate market trends in Big Sky Montana.  This should serve to round out one’s perspective on real estate in southwest Montana – check my blogs on November 15 and 25th for more information on Belgrade and Bozeman. The four graphs below represent single family homes, condos and townhomes in 4 different price categories.  In the first graph, we see sold prices of homes below $295K.  You might think this looks like good news for buyers but if you factor in actually how many homes have actually sold and are on the market, you see that there are 2 single family homes listed and 9 condos.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 295000

 

 

In the next category seen below, we have homes from 295K to 512K.  In this category, pricing looks pretty flat in 2019.  But factor in that there are no single family homes and only 20 condos on the market currently.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 295000-512000

 

 

In the next category seen below, we have home from 512K – 1.1M.  Things get a little interesting here as we see median prices for single family at 947K and condos at 752K.  Townhomes and Single family homes especially reflect pretty large increases this year which is, of course, a function of little supply and big demand.  As we sit today, there are 3 single family homes on the market right now and no townhomes but there are 24 condos in this price category available.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 512000-1100000

 

 

In the last category, we see everything over 1.1M.  And we see increasing prices this year in the single family and condo categories.  There are currently 56 single family homes on the market and 58 condos.  Clearly, this is where the developers and builders are concentrating and where they perceive the demand to be.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 1100000

 

 

The Big Sky market is different than our other SW Montana housing markets as it is primarily made up of second homes.  The second homes are owned by mostly outsiders or non Montanans.  Their money has come from the booming economy and record stock market that we have seen in the past few years.  I think that as long as that continues, all will be good in Big Sky as it is a beautiful place with many amenities.  However, all economics are cyclical and at some point, we will have some kind of slow down in the US and world economy.  At that point we will see this Big Sky market slow as well and like most second home markets, it will probably take a bigger hit than primary home markets and take longer to recover.   All home buyers need to weigh the risk against their financial situation to evaluate whether a second home purchase in a place like Big Sky is a good decision.

What Should Affordable Housing Look Like in Bozeman?

These numbers reflect sold pricing.  Remember that Montana is a non disclosure state so only licensed real estate professionals can access accurate data.  If you would like to dive deeper into market trends, please reach out and let’s have a conversation!  I hope you found this helpful – please pass it on!!

 

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207 Falconers Way, Bozeman, Montana 59718, Bozeman, Montana 59718

207 Falconers Way, Bozeman, Montana 59718, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
0.19Acre
1,920Sqft
Welcome to your new home in the serene Falcon Hollow subdivision! This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom single-family residence spans 1,920 square feet on a single level, offering comfort and style with stainless steel appliances, granite countertops throughout, engineered hardwood floors, a gas fireplace and updated light fixtures.
$719,900

3105 Madrona Lane, Bozeman, Montana 59715, Bozeman, Montana 59715

3105 Madrona Lane, Bozeman, Montana 59715, Bozeman, Montana 59715

5Bedroom(s)
3Bathroom(s)
0.19Sqft
3,053Sqft
Ideally situated on a corner lot in the highly sought-after Alder Creek subdivision, this stunning custom-built 5-bedroom, 3-bathroom family home is brimming with premium upgrades. Enjoy the comfort of air conditioning, walk-in closets in every bedroom, cherry cabinetry + granite countertops in the kitchen, laundry room, and all bathrooms.
$1,095,000

1948 Southbridge Drive B, Bozeman, Montana 59718, Bozeman, Montana 597

1948 Southbridge Drive B, Bozeman, Montana 59718, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
1,494Sqft
Beautiful condo in Bozeman's desired Southside! Enjoy the convenient, turn key living while being in the picturesque landscape of south Bozeman. This condo has vaulted ceilings and open concept living and kitchen area perfect for entertaining. Enjoy the walkout covered deck from the living room, spacious and made for relaxing and enjoying the mountain views.
$599,000

510 Greenway Ave, Bozeman, Montana 59718, Bozeman, Montana 59718

510 Greenway Ave, Bozeman, Montana 59718, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
0.11Sqft
1,450Sqft
Sunny and cozy one-level townhome with in-floor radiant heat located off of Durston, just West of 19th Ave. This beautifully updated southern-exposure townhouse is centrally located to everything Bozeman. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, vaulted open-concept living space, newly installed LVP and carpeting, new interior doors and hardware, new base and case trim, and freshly painted walls.
$495,000

340 Kermodi Street, Bozeman, Montana 59715, Bozeman, Montana 59715

340 Kermodi Street, Bozeman, Montana 59715, Bozeman, Montana 59715

5Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
1.01Sqft
3,630Sqft
Welcome to 340 Kermodi Street – Your Gateway to Bozeman Living! Nestled in one of Bozeman’s most desirable neighborhoods, 340 Kermodi Street, a 2013 Parade Home, offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and Montana’s breathtaking natural beauty.
$1,630,000

824 Matheson Way, Bozeman, Montana 59715, Bozeman, Montana 59715

824 Matheson Way, Bozeman, Montana 59715, Bozeman, Montana 59715

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
0.08Acre
1,999Sqft
Well cared for townhome. Three Bedroom/3 Bathroom. Single car attached garage. Main floor has one bedroom, 3/4 bathroom, kitchen, dining area, Livingroom with gas fireplace, tall ceiling with ceiling fan. Second floor has 2 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, a large flex room, laundry closet and overlooks Livingroom. Come and enjoy your new home.
$575,000

626 E Cottonwood 1, Bozeman, Montana 59715, Bozeman, Montana 59715

626 E Cottonwood 1, Bozeman, Montana 59715, Bozeman, Montana 59715

2Bedroom(s)
3Bathroom(s)
2,606Sqft
This distinctive and creative two bedroom condo is located in the desirable Brewery District of NorthEast Bozeman. The James Beard Awarded Wild Crumb Bakery, Finks Deli and Treeline coffee are on the same block, and it is located just blocks from 2 breweries and several art galleries. Enjoy close proximity to Historic Downtown Bozeman with its plentiful dining and shopping options.
$1,050,000

721 N Aster Ave, Bozeman, Montana 59718, Bozeman, Montana 59718

721 N Aster Ave, Bozeman, Montana 59718, Bozeman, Montana 59718

4Bedroom(s)
3Bathroom(s)
0.17Sqft
2,298Sqft
Welcome to your dream home in the desirable Harvest Creek Subdivision! This spacious 4-bedroom, 3-bath residence offers the perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and modern charm. Step inside to an inviting layout featuring a living room with vaulted ceilings, a well-appointed kitchen with ample counter space, and a dining area ideal for both everyday living and entertaining.
$799,000

216 S 3rd Avenue, Bozeman, Montana 59715, Bozeman, Montana 59715

216 S 3rd Avenue, Bozeman, Montana 59715, Bozeman, Montana 59715

3Bedroom(s)
1Bathroom(s)
0.20Acre
2,950Sqft
Step into the timeless charm of this beautifully preserved Colonial Revival in Bozeman’s beloved Bon Ton Historic District. Built in 1907 by Frederick Bull and proudly listed on the National Register of Historic Places, this home offers a rare opportunity to own a piece of Bozeman history—thoughtfully updated for modern living.
$1,350,000
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